Study setting and design

In this project, we will work in rural Guatemala in collaboration with Maya Health Alliance, the lead local institution, which facilitates primary care and research in service of the local Indigenous Maya population. Maya Health Alliance works alongside Indigenous communities to improve access to healthcare as well as leading clinical trial and observational studies on complementary feeding, stunting, dietary quality and early child development.23–25

This study includes field-based and lab-based components (figure 1). For the field-based component, children 6–9 months of age, only one child per household, will be enrolled in the study and followed for 18 months through 24–27 months of age. During the 18 months when children are enrolled in the study, households will be visited for data collection three times, at 9-month increments. Household visits will consist of surveys (eg, dietary intake), anthropometric measurements, sampling of household maize stores and foods, and collection of venous blood specimens and faecal samples.

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Figure 1

Overall project design and path analysis integration. AFB1, aflatoxin B1; HAD, height-for-age difference; AFB1-lys, aflatoxin B1-lysine; SCFAs, short-chain fatty acids; NH3-N, ammoniacal nitrogen; COD, chemical oxygen demand.

Blood samples will be used to measure serum AFB1-lysine (AFB1-lys) adduct levels, C reactive protein (CRP) and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). Faecal samples will be used to analyse faecal calprotectin, gut microbiome composition and microbial metabolites such as short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs). Faecal samples will also be used in the lab to seed bioreactors which will then be dosed with varying levels of AFB1 (see the ‘Bioreactor setup and sampling’ section). Microbial metabolites (eg, SCFAs), AFB1 and its degradation products, microbiome structures (DNA) and functions (RNA) will be analysed.

Outcomes

The primary growth outcome will be height-for-age difference (HAD) scores, calculated as the difference between measured height-for-age and the median height-for-age from the WHO’s Child Growth Standards reference population. The primary exposure outcome will be serum AFB1-lys, which will be used to estimate aflatoxin exposure. Children will be divided into ‘high’ and ‘low’ AFB1-lys groups using a potential cut-off of 5 pg AFB1/mg albumin (pending exposure data in the baseline assessments).4 26–29 Secondary exposure outcomes will be markers of systemic and intestinal inflammation, including ESR, CRP, SCFAs and faecal calprotectin. These outcome measurements will be collected at three time points beginning at 6–9 months of age and will be collected every 9 months until the final time point at 24–27 months of age. In addition to these outcomes, we will evaluate the faecal microbiome as a mediator between exposures and outcomes. Other outcomes include the results from the bioreactor experiments, including AFB1-induced microbiome composition and function changes, microbial metabolite profiles and AFB1 degradation products.

Eligibility criteria

Participants will include children from Maya Health Alliance catchment areas located in the Departments of Chimaltenango, Sololá, Sacatepéquez and Suchitepéquez. Maya Health Alliance community health clinics and health centres will be the primary source for identifying potential children. In addition, the project will be promoted through community centres, churches, schools and community leader meetings.

Inclusion criteria are as follows:

• Infants who are 6–9 months of age at baseline.

• At least one caregiver willing to provide written informed consent and participate in study activities.

• Permanent residents of the communities or planned residence in the study area at least for the 24 months following enrolment.

• Singleton birth.

Exclusion criteria are as follows:

• Infants with moderate to severe acute malnutrition (weight-for-length z-score ≤−2).

• Infants with a chronic medical condition that affects growth and/or requires special care, present at baseline or diagnosed subsequently during the study observation period, such as:

  • Congenital heart disease.

  • Genetic conditions.

  • Kidney disease.

  • Neurological deficits.

  • Problems of cleft lip or palate.

• Infants whose caregivers have cognitive or other impairments that prevent them from providing informed consent or reliable information.

• Concurrent participation in any other clinical trial.

Sample size

Our planned sample size is 185 children. This is based on assumptions of an SD for HAD of 3.5 cm and an intrasubject correlation coefficient of 0.8 for repeated measures, based on recent Guatemalan Demographic Health Survey Data30 and Maya Health Alliance observational data.31–33 With these assumptions, a sample of 154 children will allow us to detect a minimum difference in HAD slopes of 1.0 cm between high and low AFB1-lys groups (above or below 5 pg AFB1/mg albumin) with 80% power, at an alpha level of 0.05. The total sample of 185 participants includes an increase of 20% to account for possible dropouts or lost to follow-up and will also allow for detection of the same 1 cm difference in slopes if our SDs are smaller than expected (as low as 2.5).

Recruitment

For the recruitment process, study staff will identify potential participants and inform caregivers of the study using a recruitment script, and directly answer questions or concerns about the study. This will either be conducted by phone, in routine healthcare settings or via home visits. Interested caregivers will be screened for eligibility via a rapid screening including general information on the child’s demographic characteristics and inclusion criteria. Caregivers of children that meet the inclusion criteria after the rapid screening will review the informed consent form the same day or in a rescheduled home visit. Staff conducting recruitment and informed consent activities will be bilingual (Spanish and Kaqchikel, or other Mayan languages, as appropriate), and will provide information in the caregiver’s preferred language.

Field data and sample collection

The study will involve three household visits at 9-month intervals. During these visits, the team will conduct surveys and anthropometric measurements, collect samples of maize, and collect venous blood specimens from the children (less than 2 mL/kg body weight). In addition, the team will place a sterile diaper on the child at the start of each visit and collect faeces on defecation. The maize samples will be tested for AFB1 concentrations, and a probable daily intake (PDI) score will be estimated via cooking practices, maize consumption recall and child body weight. The team will conduct parallel non-consecutive 24-hour dietary recalls using a locally validated method. Breastfeeding practices will be recorded, although previous data suggest that breast milk is not a clinically significant source of aflatoxin exposure in the population being studied and similar settings.2 Blood samples will be collected by a trained nurse phlebotomist. Faecal samples will be collected in raw form and in glycerol and stored at −80°C until further processing. In addition to the planned testing, blood and faecal samples will be archived for future testing related to areas of specific interest to the study aims of this research project.

Bioreactor setup and sampling

We will use bioreactors to investigate the AFB1-gut microbiome interactions and use these results to elucidate microbiome-related observations in the cohort study.34–36 We will select 20 children from the lower-aflatoxin exposure group and 20 from the higher-exposure group based on their AFB1-lys levels, HAD scores and faecal microbiome composition (figure 1). We will collect their faeces in glycerol at two time points and combine those from the same age and same group as the inocula for bioreactors (ie, four inocula in total). We will feed the bioreactors with maize starch (the primary carbohydrate source in the maize-based diet and the matrix that AFB1 is associated with), other necessary nutrients and three doses of AFB1 that represent the maximum, minimum and average amount of AFB1 ingested by the children. We will operate the reactors in a fill-and-draw mode to simulate transit and retention time in the colon. We will collect liquid samples periodically for metabolite analyses (eg, SCFAs, AFB1 degradation products), and micro-organisms for microbiome composition (DNA) and function (RNA) analyses.

Statistical methods

We will use the statistically appropriate correlation-based methods to evaluate associations between the hypothesised pathways (figure 2). We will assess growth trajectory differences between higher and lower aflatoxin exposure groups (as defined above) using a longitudinal mixed model.37 We will control for the effect of a set of potential confounding factors and covariates (eg, diet, age, sex) collected in the household survey. Furthermore, to describe the mediating, moderating, direct and indirect effects among the microbiome, aflatoxin exposure, child growth outcomes and other factors, we will use path analysis and latent growth models.38 39

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Figure 2

Diagram of hypothesised pathways in aflatoxin-child growth model. AFB1, aflatoxin B1; PDI, probable daily intake; CRP, C-reactive protein; ESR, erythrocyte sedimentation rate; SCFAs, short-chain fatty acids.

Data management and confidentiality

Study personnel will be trained on standard operating procedures for recruitment, enrolment and data collection tasks. Data quality will be ensured using native data field definition functions in digital data capture software and ongoing quality control measures such as database review and random audits of in-field operations. Each subject will be assigned a unique study ID number and this number will be the only link between their name and research data. Identifiable data will be retained by Maya Health Alliance for at least 3 years from the date of study completion or primary outcomes are published, whichever is later. Deidentified datasets will be transferred to Arizona State University and may also be deposited in public data repositories at the time of publication. No identifiable data will be released publicly.

Data monitoring, harms and auditing

The rate of subject accrual and compliance with inclusion/exclusion criteria will be monitored monthly during the recruitment phase. The study may be stopped early if there is regional or national political instability or difficulty with recruitment or retention that significantly impacts the ability to evaluate the study endpoints. The study has minimal risk to subjects. The anticipated risks include lost productivity or interference with domestic routines for the caregivers of enrolled children, risk of psychological stress or stigma for caregivers discussing possible delays in child development, risk of accidental disclosure of personal or confidential data, and risk of pain or infection associated with blood draws. To address these risks, standard operating procedures have been developed, including a specific operating procedure governing behavioural distraction techniques and limited phlebotomy attempts for children. The study is not expected to have any significant adverse events, but any perceived adverse events or complaints from participating communities or caregivers will be reported to the institutional review board (IRB) and granting authorities. Staff will be trained to report adverse events following established protocol. Staff will provide counselling to caregivers when laboratory results are returned and assist with linkages to clinical care when indicated.

Patient and public involvement

Patients or the public were not involved in the design of our research protocol. However, prior to initiating field work, community meetings will be held to solicit feedback on planned research activities, and results obtained from the study will be communicated back to the community in regular community meetings.

Informed consent

Study staff members will explain the study and obtain written informed consent from the caregiver/legal guardian of the child participating in the study. Informed consent will be administered in Spanish or the Mayan language of the caregiver’s choosing. Children participating in the study are less than 24 months old and are not capable of providing assent. Once signed informed consent is given, the study staff member will provide the caregiver will be provided with a signed copy of the informed consent (online supplemental file 1).

Dissemination policy

Laboratory results will be returned to participating caregivers by study staff. Results will be explained in detail and linkages to clinical care facilitated when indicated. We will educate the public and the scientific community by publishing in peer-reviewed scientific journals, presenting our findings at microbiome-related, toxicology-related and environmental engineering-related conferences and webinars, and by conducting town-hall style meetings with participating communities.