Table 1

Overall daily records (with 95% CI) from negative binomial models split by inpatients and outpatients, pre and post COVID-19 and tiering system

InpatientsOutpatients
WeekdayHolidayWeekdayHoliday
Pre COVID-19157 (153.5 to 160.5)44.6 (42.7 to 46.5)257.6 (243.5 to 272.4)11.9 (10.7 to 13.2)
Post COVID-19 (overall)155.4 (152.3 to 158.7)53.4 (51.4 to 55.4)187.3 (177.8 to 197.3)8.2 (7.4 to 9.1)
Lockdown tier 0157 (153.6 to 160.5)44.6 (42.7 to 46.5)257.6 (244.1 to 271.7)11.9 (10.8 to 13.1)
Lockdown tier 1153.8 (148 to 159.8)46.7 (43.5 to 50.3)213.6 (194.6 to 234.5)7.5 (6.2 to 9)
Lockdown tier 2164.2 (157.4 to 171.3)54.1 (49.9 to 58.7)224.7 (202.6 to 249.3)9.3 (7.5 to 11.5)
Lockdown tier 3152.9 (139.2 to 168)62.2 (51.5 to 75.2)151.5 (120.2 to 190.9)9.5 (5.7 to 15.7)
Lockdown tier 4152.2 (147.7 to 157)56.1 (53.3 to 59.1)154.8 (143.6 to 166.9)8.1 (7 to 9.3)
  • Post COVID-19 dates were defined as all dates after and including Monday 23 March 2020, when the first national lockdown came into force in the UK. Post COVID-19 dates were further subcategorised according to the UK government’s official lockdown tiering system (tiers 0–4, based on local tiering allocation in London with tier 4 being the most stringent form of lockdown). Although the tiering system was announced in October 2020, we retrospectively categorised all post- COVID-19 restrictions in London prior to October 2020 according to the same system as follows: tier 4 from the 23 March 2020; on 1 June 2020, lockdown restrictions eased with primary schools reopening (tier 3); on 14 June 2020, non-essential shops reopened (tier 2) and on 4 July 2020, other businesses reopened such as pubs and restaurants (tier 1).6